12 Aug Ceg Stock Analysis: Graph, Statistics & Prediction
Surprising fact: Constellation Energy Corporation owns about 31,676 MW of capacity — a scale that rivals some small countries and underpins why this utility trades like a premium name.
I write from my trading desk with one goal: give you a clean, evidence-driven snapshot. Right now the 52-week range sits at 161.35–357.00, market cap ~$103.484B, P/E ~34.51 and EPS ~9.60. Those numbers frame risk and reward in one glance.
Liquidity matters: day’s range and volume compared to the 3-month average tell me whether a move is real or thin-market noise. Dividend detail is clear too — $1.55 annualized (0.46%) with an ex-date on Aug 18, 2025.
In short: I’ll show the graph, cite the stats I watch, and map scenarios that hinge on earnings, regulation, and capacity mix. Read on for prediction setups you can test yourself.
Key Takeaways
- Constellation Energy Corporation has sizable, diversified capacity that supports stable earnings.
- Current valuation reflects premium utility status: market cap ~ $103B and P/E in the mid-30s.
- 52-week range (161.35–357.00) highlights both big upside and material downside risk.
- Dividend yield is modest at 0.46%; this is a dividend-growth, not high-yield, candidate.
- Volume and day-range context matter for execution when trading in the stock market.
CEG stock at a glance (present): what Constellation Energy offers investors
Start with the facts: Constellation Energy Corporation combines legacy baseload plants with modern renewables. The company runs 31,676 MW of capacity across nuclear, wind, solar, natural gas, and hydro.
The operating map — Mid-Atlantic, Midwest, New York, ERCOT and other regions — spreads regulatory and price risk. That geographic mix smooths consolidated revenue and supports reliable earnings.
Customers range from distribution utilities and municipalities to commercial, industrial, and residential users. Beyond selling electricity and natural gas, the company offers products and services that often carry higher margins and stickier relationships.
- Generation stack: nuclear backbone plus wind/solar and gas peakers.
- Business quality: diversified customers and predictable output from plants.
- Why it matters: this mix helps explain premium market multiples for the company and its peers in the utilities sector.
Graph and key statistics for Constellation Energy stock
Below I lay out the live graph and the headline numbers so you can see price in context.
Interactive price graph
Toggle YTD and the 52-week range to compare current action (Previous Close 335.77) with the full band (161.35–357.00). Day’s range today sits 328.00–338.30 on volume 792,858 vs avg. 2.82M.
Valuation, profitability and cash flow
- Market cap: ~$103.5–104.9B; P/E (TTM) ~34.5–35.0; Forward P/E ~29.
- Margins & growth: EPS ~9.58–9.60, profit margin ~12%, ROE ~23.5–24.2%.
- Balance sheet: Debt/Equity ~0.62; cash ~$1.97B; levered FCF ~$3.52B.
“Watch the EV/EBITDA band (~17) — it shows the market pricing for clean baseload capacity.”
Risk and liquidity
Beta runs ~1.14 with ATR(14) ~13 and RSI ~52. Short float ~2.2% (~6.86M shares). Use day range vs avg. volume to judge whether a move has real sponsorship.
| Metric | Value | Context | Next date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Previous Close | 335.77 | Day range 328–338.30 | — |
| 52‑Week | 161.35–357.00 | Shows wide dispersion | — |
| Dividend (forward) | $1.55 (0.46%) | Ex-date Aug 18, 2025 | Aug 18, 2025 |
| Next earnings | Nov 3, 2025 | Last: Aug 07 BMO | Nov 3, 2025 |
All figures come from the live market data feed and company overview. I use this pack to test scenarios and set alerts for dividend, earnings, and price action.
Predictions and scenarios for CEG stock
Let’s map out where Constellation Energy could head next, with clear triggers and odds. I lean on Wall Street consensus, 2025 earnings estimates, and recent regulatory news to frame three practical paths.
Wall Street and earnings lens
Consensus sits near 1.76 with a target cluster roughly $326–$361. Analysts range from Raymond James’ $326 to the Street ceiling around $361.
The 2025 earnings view is central: consensus EPS ~11.44, which implies a forward P/E near 29 if margins hold. That math depends on nuclear margins and PJM capacity revenue staying intact.
Macro and sector setup
Lower interest rates favor utilities and the S&P 500 nuclear narrative. Demand from AI data centers lifts the value of reliable, clean power.
Monitor rates and auction headlines — they drive short-term moves more than company PR in this phase.
Scenario analysis
- Bull: stronger PJM pricing, smooth Calpine integration after FERC approval, and incremental data-center deals. Multiple holds at ~30–32x → upside through Street highs.
- Base: forward multiple 27–29x on EPS ~11.4–11.6 → fair value in the mid‑ to high‑300s; dividend adds a modest yield kicker.
- Bear: higher rates, regulatory delays, or PJM weakness. A derate to 23–25x could push price toward the low‑300s.
“Q2 beats and positive PJM auction headlines are real catalysts — they shifted sentiment, not just price.”
For active portfolios I scale around earnings calls and capacity auctions, using valuation bands for entries and exits. Evidence — regulatory clearance and recent results — supports the base case, but interest-rate moves remain the biggest single risk.
Tools and resources to analyze Constellation Energy (CEG)
Here are the practical tools I use to cut through the noise when analyzing Constellation Energy. Short, repeatable checks make the work reproducible for other investors.
Advanced charting and indicators
Chart setup: 20/50/200-day moving averages, RSI ~52, and ATR near 13 give a clear volatility and trend read.
- Watch price versus SMA50/200 — above both, treat pullbacks to rising MAs as entries.
- Compare daily volume to the 2.82M average to confirm breakouts or spot weak rallies.
- Short float ~2.2% and RSI(14) 52.43 provide momentum context before earnings.
Peer benchmarking
Benchmark against NEE, SO, DUK, AEP, EXC, and PEG on P/E, ROE, beta and growth. If the premium valuation holds, the company should show superior returns on equity and consistent earnings growth.
Portfolio fit check
Allocation rules: treat the name as a total-return energy play with a modest dividend (~0.45–0.48%).
- Check utility ETF weights (XLU, VPU) to see passive flow risk.
- For income buckets, favor higher-yield names; for growth, position smaller size of Constellation Energy.
- Weekly watchlist: earnings dates, PJM auction results, federal energy regulatory filings, and peer news.
“Use trend, volume, and peer checks together — one signal alone misleads.”
Guide: how to evaluate an energy stock like Constellation
When I evaluate an energy corporation I run nine quick checks that tie the plant floor to valuation. This keeps analysis practical and repeatable for other investors.
Step-by-step: link fundamentals to multiples
- Step 1 — capacity & mix: Nuclear-heavy fleets earn pricing power. Constellation Energy’s 31,676 MW sets a durable floor.
- Step 2 — fundamentals: ROE ~23–24% and Debt/Equity ~0.62 justify a premium P/E and EV/EBITDA versus peers.
- Step 3 — model drivers: Tie PJM auctions, outage schedules, and hedges to forward earnings and estimates.
- Step 4 — rates: Interest moves change discounts; multiples shift even if operations hold.
- Step 5 — dividend policy: A ~0.46% dividend fits a dividend-growth approach — reinvestment at high ROE matters more than yield.
- Step 6 — target bands: Use P/E bands (23–32x) not a single price target.
- Step 7 — regs: Watch FERC and state actions (think New York) — they can rerate the market in a day.
- Step 8 — validate: Compare quarterly results to your thesis and adjust size.
- Step 9 — risks: Plant downtime, basis moves, and policy shifts. Size positions to survive surprises.
“Wall Street opinions are inputs, not gospel — use them to stress-test your model.”
Conclusion
Bottom line: Constellation’s mix of nuclear and renewables, cash flow, and recent regulatory wins frame a sensible opportunity. The 52‑week band (161.35–357.00), market cap ~$103–105B, P/E ~34–35, and EPS TTM ~9.6 support a base case in the mid‑300s if earnings hold.
Evidence matters: ROE ~23–24%, profit margin ~12%, debt/equity ~0.62, cash ~$1.97B and levered FCF ~$3.52B underwrite growth plans. Catalysts — FERC approvals and PJM auctions — can move the market and the company’s price quickly.
If you want a quick next step, use the tools and guide sections to build your own view. I’ll keep sources pinned so you can verify numbers and decide if a measured entry fits your risk and return goals.
FAQ
What does Constellation Energy do and how big is its generation footprint?
How has Constellation’s share price performed recently and what’s the 52‑week range?
What are the key valuation metrics investors watch for Constellation?
Is Constellation profitable and what do its margins and returns look like?
How strong is Constellation’s balance sheet and cash flow?
FAQ
What does Constellation Energy do and how big is its generation footprint?
Constellation Energy is a diversified power company focused on low‑carbon generation. Today it operates roughly 31,676 MW across nuclear, wind, solar, gas and hydro assets, selling electricity and related services to utilities, commercial customers and markets like PJM.
How has Constellation’s share price performed recently and what’s the 52‑week range?
The name has shown notable volatility this year with momentum tied to rate moves, utility sector flows and earnings updates. The 52‑week range sits between about 161.35 and 357.00, while year‑to‑date performance depends on market timing and sector drivers.
What are the key valuation metrics investors watch for Constellation?
Market participants typically look at market cap (~3–105B), P/E (TTM) around 34–35, price/sales roughly 4.1–4.3, and price/book near 7.7–7.8 to gauge relative value versus peers and expected growth.
Is Constellation profitable and what do its margins and returns look like?
The company posts healthy profitability with EPS (TTM) about 9.58–9.60, return on equity in the low‑to‑mid 20s percentage, and net profit margins near 12%, reflecting strong cash generation from nuclear and contracted revenues.
How strong is Constellation’s balance sheet and cash flow?
Balance sheet metrics include debt/equity around 0.62, total cash near
FAQ
What does Constellation Energy do and how big is its generation footprint?
Constellation Energy is a diversified power company focused on low‑carbon generation. Today it operates roughly 31,676 MW across nuclear, wind, solar, gas and hydro assets, selling electricity and related services to utilities, commercial customers and markets like PJM.
How has Constellation’s share price performed recently and what’s the 52‑week range?
The name has shown notable volatility this year with momentum tied to rate moves, utility sector flows and earnings updates. The 52‑week range sits between about 161.35 and 357.00, while year‑to‑date performance depends on market timing and sector drivers.
What are the key valuation metrics investors watch for Constellation?
Market participants typically look at market cap (~$103–105B), P/E (TTM) around 34–35, price/sales roughly 4.1–4.3, and price/book near 7.7–7.8 to gauge relative value versus peers and expected growth.
Is Constellation profitable and what do its margins and returns look like?
The company posts healthy profitability with EPS (TTM) about 9.58–9.60, return on equity in the low‑to‑mid 20s percentage, and net profit margins near 12%, reflecting strong cash generation from nuclear and contracted revenues.
How strong is Constellation’s balance sheet and cash flow?
Balance sheet metrics include debt/equity around 0.62, total cash near $1.97B and levered free cash flow in the neighborhood of $3.5B, supporting capital programs and shareholder returns while keeping leverage moderate for a utility.
What liquidity and market‑risk indicators should I monitor?
Investors track beta (~1.14), average true range and daily volatility, average volume and short interest (around 2.2%). These help assess price sensitivity to macro shocks and sentiment shifts in energy and utility sectors.
Does Constellation pay a dividend and when are key corporate dates?
Constellation maintains a dividend with a modest yield (roughly 0.45–0.48%). Key corporate dates—ex‑dividend, record and payment dates—are published with each board action; also watch earnings release dates on the company calendar.
What do Wall Street analysts say about Constellation’s outlook and price targets?
Consensus analyst sentiment leans positive, with an average rating near 1.76 and target ranges typically between $326 and $361. Analysts cite nuclear reliability, regulated and contracted revenues, and capacity market dynamics as drivers.
What are the 2025 earnings expectations and growth drivers?
Street estimates for EPS in 2025 are around 11.44. Growth is expected from stable nuclear output, participation in PJM capacity markets, renewables additions and power market price improvements tied to demand for baseload and clean energy.
How do macro factors and sector trends affect Constellation’s prospects?
Interest rates, broader utility allocations, S&P 500 thematic flows for nuclear and clean energy, and demand from AI data centers all influence revenue and valuation multiples. Rate moves can compress or expand utility valuations quickly.
What are realistic scenario outcomes for the stock?
Scenario analysis typically models a base case tied to consensus earnings and current multiples, a bull case with rerating and stronger capacity prices, and a bear case from regulatory setbacks, cost overruns or sustained weak power prices.
Which tools should I use to analyze Constellation’s market behavior?
Use advanced charts with moving averages, RSI (around 52), ATR and volume overlays. Combine those with fundamental screens for P/E, growth, leverage and cash‑flow metrics to form a rounded view.
How does Constellation compare with peers like NextEra, Southern Company and Duke?
Versus peers such as NextEra Energy, Southern Company, Duke Energy, American Electric Power and Exelon, Constellation trades at higher growth multiples but also shows stronger ROE and nuclear exposure. Compare P/E, beta and projected growth to decide relative value.
Should I include Constellation in a dividend or growth portfolio?
Constellation fits a dividend‑growth sleeve more than a high‑yield slot. Its payout is modest while retained cash funds asset additions and debt reduction. Allocate based on target yield, sector exposure and diversification needs.
What steps do you recommend when evaluating an energy company like Constellation?
Link fundamentals—capacity mix, ROE, debt metrics and cash flow—to valuation multiples. Stress‑test earnings under different power‑price and rate scenarios, review regulatory filings for FERC and PJM items, and compare peer benchmarks before sizing a position.
Where do you find reliable data sources for the metrics cited here?
Use market data feeds, SEC filings, the company investor relations site and reputable terminals for real‑time quotes. Supplement with independent research for analyst consensus, capacity auction results and FERC or PJM notices.
.97B and levered free cash flow in the neighborhood of .5B, supporting capital programs and shareholder returns while keeping leverage moderate for a utility.
What liquidity and market‑risk indicators should I monitor?
Investors track beta (~1.14), average true range and daily volatility, average volume and short interest (around 2.2%). These help assess price sensitivity to macro shocks and sentiment shifts in energy and utility sectors.
Does Constellation pay a dividend and when are key corporate dates?
Constellation maintains a dividend with a modest yield (roughly 0.45–0.48%). Key corporate dates—ex‑dividend, record and payment dates—are published with each board action; also watch earnings release dates on the company calendar.
What do Wall Street analysts say about Constellation’s outlook and price targets?
Consensus analyst sentiment leans positive, with an average rating near 1.76 and target ranges typically between 6 and 1. Analysts cite nuclear reliability, regulated and contracted revenues, and capacity market dynamics as drivers.
What are the 2025 earnings expectations and growth drivers?
Street estimates for EPS in 2025 are around 11.44. Growth is expected from stable nuclear output, participation in PJM capacity markets, renewables additions and power market price improvements tied to demand for baseload and clean energy.
How do macro factors and sector trends affect Constellation’s prospects?
Interest rates, broader utility allocations, S&P 500 thematic flows for nuclear and clean energy, and demand from AI data centers all influence revenue and valuation multiples. Rate moves can compress or expand utility valuations quickly.
What are realistic scenario outcomes for the stock?
Scenario analysis typically models a base case tied to consensus earnings and current multiples, a bull case with rerating and stronger capacity prices, and a bear case from regulatory setbacks, cost overruns or sustained weak power prices.
Which tools should I use to analyze Constellation’s market behavior?
Use advanced charts with moving averages, RSI (around 52), ATR and volume overlays. Combine those with fundamental screens for P/E, growth, leverage and cash‑flow metrics to form a rounded view.
How does Constellation compare with peers like NextEra, Southern Company and Duke?
Versus peers such as NextEra Energy, Southern Company, Duke Energy, American Electric Power and Exelon, Constellation trades at higher growth multiples but also shows stronger ROE and nuclear exposure. Compare P/E, beta and projected growth to decide relative value.
Should I include Constellation in a dividend or growth portfolio?
Constellation fits a dividend‑growth sleeve more than a high‑yield slot. Its payout is modest while retained cash funds asset additions and debt reduction. Allocate based on target yield, sector exposure and diversification needs.
What steps do you recommend when evaluating an energy company like Constellation?
Link fundamentals—capacity mix, ROE, debt metrics and cash flow—to valuation multiples. Stress‑test earnings under different power‑price and rate scenarios, review regulatory filings for FERC and PJM items, and compare peer benchmarks before sizing a position.
Where do you find reliable data sources for the metrics cited here?
Use market data feeds, SEC filings, the company investor relations site and reputable terminals for real‑time quotes. Supplement with independent research for analyst consensus, capacity auction results and FERC or PJM notices.