12 Aug GCT Stock Analysis: Guide, Statistics, Prediction, and Evidence
Surprising fact: intraday volume recently hit over 4.3 million shares—about six times the average—showing how fast this name can move in a single session.
I write from direct checks: price ranges, momentum reads, and the latest results. I pull numbers from Nasdaq and TradingView so readers can verify every claim. My page lays out the story, the stats, the chart context, and a clear prediction framework tied to how the business makes money.
Why that matters: with a 52-week spread from about 11 to 29 and a beta north of 2, swings cut both ways. I anchor valuation to P/E and EPS ranges rather than a single line. That prevents false precision and helps investors understand risk.
Below you’ll find live-style graph references, revenue and EPS comparisons, and a concise action checklist to repeat weekly. This is a practical, evidence-first guide for anyone tracking this market name.
Key Takeaways
- Volume spikes signal active trading; verify with delayed feeds like Nasdaq and TradingView.
- Use P/E and EPS ranges to avoid overconfidence in a single valuation.
- Combine momentum charts with revenue and margin checks before acting.
- Beta >2 increases volatility—adjust position size and risk limits.
- I provide sources and a repeatable checklist so you can validate the report yourself.
Today’s market context and what this GCT trend report covers
I start with verified prints from TradingView and Nasdaq so the numbers here are testable.
Snapshot: price 30.23 with a +30.52% move on the day, +34.90% weekly, +40.96% monthly, and +28.58% year-over-year.
The market cap reads about $1.08B and average volume sits near 761,000 shares. The day’s range traded between 24.86 and 28.98. I use eToro to gauge buy-flow context and guides.
Why this matters: a single hot day can be noise, but the week and month gains suggest follow-through. That changes how I weigh risk and position size.
“Numbers like +30.52% on the day and rising month reads change risk; check candles and volume yourself.”
- Market tone first: intraday structure, range, and volume versus average.
- Business lens: how gigacloud technology and gigacloud technology inc perform versus peers in Distribution Services.
- Valuation and evidence: quick stats, earnings signals, then prediction scenarios you can test over months.
| Metric | Value | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Price (intraday) | $30.23 | TradingView / Nasdaq |
| Daily % | +30.52% | TradingView |
| Weekly / Monthly / YoY | +34.90% / +40.96% / +28.58% | TradingView |
| Market Cap | ~$1.08B | Nasdaq |
| Avg Volume / Day Range | 761k / 24.86–28.98 | Nasdaq / eToro |
gct stock price action at present: chart, momentum, and volatility
Using intraday to one‑year views, I check if the advance shows follow‑through across timeframes.
Interactive graph
Momentum snapshot
The price sits at $30.23, up +30.52% on the day, with weekly, monthly, and trailing year moves of +34.90%, +40.96%, and +28.58% respectively.
Volatility and beta
Volatility reads near 8.77% for the day and a beta of 2.24. That combination forces wider stops and smaller sizes.
- Previous close: $22.15; open: $25.26; day range: 24.86–28.98.
- 52‑week band: 11.17–29.20; ATH memory at 62.00 frames upside.
- Market cap around $1.08B; TradingView technicals show a short‑term strong buy.
“When daily, weekly, and monthly momentum align, the move often has follow‑through—until clear resistance forces a pullback.”
Bottom line: map breakout continuation versus a mean‑reversion pullback on the chart before placing orders. Use the ratio of range to prior resistance and watch participation to decide if the performance can extend into coming months.
Business model and industry lens: GigaCloud Technology Inc in B2B ecommerce
I picture a sofa moving from an Asian factory to a U.S. reseller’s showroom to explain this business. That image sums up the company’s edge: product discovery, freight, customs, last‑mile and payments bundled into one workflow.
End-to-end large parcel platform
The GigaCloud Marketplace is more than listings; it’s a platform that links manufacturers with resellers across furniture, appliances, and fitness equipment. It combines order discovery, logistics modules, and payments so resellers can sell, not manage paperwork.
Sector and industry positioning
In Distribution Services and Wholesale Distributors, integration matters. By removing friction on large parcel flows, the company captures margin where mistakes are costly and competitors are fewer.
“The model compresses time and risk in large‑parcel commerce, turning operational complexity into scalable value.”
Evidence: incorporated 2006, HQ El Monte, CA, CEO Lei Wu, ~1.56K employees. That headcount and focused category mix show execution, not scattershot technology experiments.
Valuation and performance statistics investors are watching
Let’s unpack the numbers that investors use to judge whether this company is priced fairly.
I track multiple feeds, so I present ranges not single-point reads. The trailing P/E sits between 6.67–9.42, with a forward P/E near 11.21.
Multiples at a glance
Price/Sales is roughly 1.0x, EV/Revenue ~1.09, and EV/EBITDA about 8.66. Price/Book reads near 2.67.
| Metric | Value | Source |
|---|---|---|
| P/E (TTM) | 6.67–9.42 | Trading feeds |
| EV/EBITDA | 8.66 | Company filings |
| Price/Sales | ~1.00 | Financials |
Profitability metrics
Net margin sits at 11.17% and ROE at 33.76%. EPS (TTM) ranges from 3.07–3.33, backing the P/E band above.
“At ~1.0x sales and EV/EBITDA near 8.7, the market prices a distributor-like profile despite platform elements.”
Balance sheet and cash flow
The company holds about $302.97M in cash, levered free cash flow near $105.58M, and debt/equity around 108.61%.
What this means: solid income conversion and cash give room to service leverage. But the cap base (~$1.08–1.10B) means a multiple shift could matter fast for holders.
For a step-by-step valuation check, see my company valuation review and compare earnings trends across months before sizing a position.
Earnings evidence and fundamentals: results, guidance, and catalysts
Last quarter delivered a headline beat that changes the risk-reward math.
The company reported EPS of $0.91 versus a $0.41 estimate, a 119% surprise. Revenue came in at $322.61M against $290.08M expected. Those two items are the core evidence I weigh when forming a view.
- What matters: EPS nearly doubled estimates and revenue outpaced consensus — a combo that can drive multiple expansion if repeated.
- Forward bar: analysts peg next-quarter EPS at $0.74. The next earnings date is Nov 27, 2025 — mark it as a tradeable event.
- Catalyst: volume spiked to 4,366,089 vs a 763,104 average. Big volume confirms narrative shifts.
- Risk: beta 2.24 amplifies reactions to guidance, margins, and inventory notes on the earnings call.
“Execution showed up in both income and revenue, not just one headline line.”
In practice I listen for cross-border logistics comments, working capital detail, and category demand in furniture and fitness. If management repeats the beat and guidance holds, the setup favors a re-rate. If not, this name can swing hard. I use alerts and size positions accordingly.
Predictions and scenarios: where could GCT trade next?
I model outcomes using analyst targets, recent momentum, and valuation ranges to set expectations. These frames help me pick entry bands and risk limits, not promises.
Analyst targets: low $18.50, average $29.50, high $44.00. Use these as reference points, not certainties.
Scenario modeling
Base case: price mean-reverts toward the average target (~$29.50) after the run, then grinds higher if earnings and growth repeat. Expect choppy moves because beta is high.
Bull case: execution drives a valuation re-rate toward mid-teens P/E. That could support momentum pushing price toward the $44 high over months to a year.
Bear case: multiple compression back into the high teens if margins slip or volume collapses. In high-beta names even neutral news can prompt sizable retracements.
Technical posture and risk-adjusted view
The tape sits near the 52-week high of $29.20, with an ATH at $62.00 (Aug 2022) still in memory. Clear breakouts on heavy volume tend to continue; failed tests often retrace fast.
Risk note: beta 2.24 implies wide swings. I scale entries over weeks, size for volatility, and watch share behavior in the 30–32 supply zone for clues on real accumulation versus a squeeze.
| Input | Value | Implication |
|---|---|---|
| Analyst range | $18.50 / $29.50 / $44.00 | Benchmarks for scenarios |
| Momentum (week / month) | +34.90% / +40.96% | Short-term strength; watch for follow-through |
| Valuation | P/E 6.67–9.42; EV/EBITDA 8.66; P/S ~1.0 | Room for re-rate if growth holds |
| Technical landmarks | 52-week high $29.20; ATH $62.00 | Resistance/support context |
| Beta | 2.24 | Higher drawdown and rally risk |
“On timing I prefer layered entries and clear stops — let momentum confirm, don’t chase alone.”
For fresh post-earnings notes and alerts that feed these scenarios, see this earnings notice and market reaction on MarketBeat: quarterly results and alerts. Use them to test the model and adjust sizing.
Tools, sources, and a quick guide to act on your thesis
Before you trade, I assemble three verified sources and a short checklist. That keeps decisions practical and repeatable.
Monitor toolkit
- TradingView Advanced Chart — intraday to 1Y views and technical rating for timing.
- Nasdaq fundamentals — P/E, EPS, EV/EBITDA, cash, debt/equity and 1Y target for valuation checks.
- Curated news feeds and alerts — surface volume shocks (4.37M vs 763k avg) and headline moves fast.
How to buy on a U.S.-friendly platform
Open an account, verify ID, deposit funds, search the ticker, then choose your order type. I prefer limit orders over market in fast moves.
Due diligence checklist
- Revenue trend, margins, and working capital.
- Cash versus debt/equity and market cap (~1.08–1.10B).
- Volume vs. average and upcoming key date: Nov 27, 2025.
“Use rating signals for timing, but let earnings cadence and the balance sheet decide size and hold time.”
Conclusion
Summing the evidence and market reaction, I offer a clear, short verdict for investors.
The recent earnings beat (EPS $0.91 vs $0.41) and heavy volume (4.37M vs 763k avg) paired with momentum (+30.52% day, +34.90% week, +40.96% month) make the case that gigacloud technology can re-rate if execution holds.
Stats matter: P/E 6.67–9.42, EV/EBITDA ~8.66, cash ~$302.97M and LFCF ~$105.58M balance leverage. Expect chop near the 52‑week high (29.20) and potential upside toward analyst highs if results repeat.
Use TradingView for the graph, Nasdaq for fundamentals, and mark Nov 27, 2025 for the next earnings. Start small, size for volatility (beta ~2.24), and update your thesis each quarter.