12 Aug SoundHound Stock Insights: Graph, Statistics, and Expert Prediction
Surprising fact: the shares jumped to $15.90, up 17.34% on nearly 121.4 million shares traded — while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq slipped ~0.3% the same session.
I keep a live graph on screen; seeing a stock rally like that when broad indices are red tells me this move is stock-specific, not just market beta. The tape was loud: volume nearly 3x average and momentum traders piling in.
The Q2 report matters. Revenue hit $42.7M, a 217% year-over-year surge, and management raised the FY2025 guide to $160–$178M. Add analyst upgrades — a 12-month price target set near $16 — and you get the why behind today’s push.
Risks are real: RSI around 74 flags overbought conditions and a short float above 33% can fuel volatile squeezes and sharp reversals. I’ll map the live graph to these numbers, weigh the earnings and ratings, and link evidence so you can judge whether this is a buy right moment or a time to wait.
Key Takeaways
- Price jumped to $15.90 on heavy volume while major indices fell — a clear stock-specific rally.
- Q2 revenue of $42.7M (+217% YoY) and a higher FY2025 guide drive growth narrative.
- Analyst upgrades and a $16 target added fuel, but RSI and high short interest raise risk.
- Momentum and institutional ownership matter; heavy trading confirms crowded positioning.
- For a balanced view, see the live-graph context and sources like this analysis.
Live Move, Graph, and News Drivers for SoundHound AI Today
The intraday action felt different: steady bids, big volume, and a clear link to fresh earnings and upgrades. The 5-day pattern reads as a staircase — higher highs and higher lows — with today closing at $15.90, up 17.34%. Volume exploded to 121,369,469 versus an average of 41.50M, giving a Relative Volume near 2.92.
The immediate catalysts were straightforward. Ladenburg Thalmann bumped the name to Buy with a $16 target (Aug‑11‑25) after Northland’s Outperform and a $14.50 target (Aug‑08‑25). Both firms cited strong Q2 results: revenue of $42.7M, a sky-high +217% YoY, and a raised FY2025 guide to $160–$178M.
Context matters. The move came while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq were down ~0.3%, so this rally wasn’t market beta — it was company-specific reasons and follow-through buying. Stocktwits flagged sentiment as “extremely bullish” with message volume up ~176%.
Peer and ETF Lens
Compared with AI and software peers (CRNC, PLTR, NVDA, MSFT, GOOGL) the gains ranked top-decile on both percentage move and relative volume. Thematic ETFs like BOTZ and IGV can amplify flows into names with strong quarterly sales and deal announcements.
- Momentum profile: volume-backed move, not a flicker.
- Catalysts: analyst upgrade + earnings beat drove fresh buying.
- Levels to watch: $16 target area and nearby resistance on the 5-day chart.
By the Numbers: Statistics, Evidence, and Sources Shaping the Story
Numbers tell the story better than headlines; let’s parse the metrics. Below I list the key stats, the risks they expose, and the tools I use to verify each item.
Valuation snapshot
P/S: 48.59, EV/Sales: 46.87, P/B: 17.93, market cap ~$6.39B. These multiples price in long-term growth, not current cashflows.
Growth engine
Q2 revenue hit $42.7M, up 217% year-over-year, and management raised the FY2025 guide to $160–$178M. That sales cadence explains why the price target chatter is loud today.
Profitability and risk
TTM income stands near -$225.85M, gross margin ~30.8%, and operating margin deep negative. Short float sits at 33.75% — a big volatility trigger.
Metric | Value | Why it matters |
---|---|---|
Sales (TTM) | $131.45M | Shows scale but not profit |
RSI (14) | 74.06 | Overbought signal; caution on entries |
Short Float | 33.75% | Amplifies swings on news |
“Short interest near one-third of the float can create violent upside on positive news and sharp downside when momentum reverses.”
Insiders, institutions, product wins, and tools
Insider sales and a 42.95% institutional stake leave a mixed signal. The Vision AI launch and several enterprise deals in auto and restaurants convert story into revenue drivers.
- Track: TradingView for charts, SEC EDGAR for 10‑Q/8‑K and Form 4s.
- Verify: IR earnings decks and transcripts for bookings and backlog details.
- Calendar: Use broker or Nasdaq calendars to mark next earnings date and analyst calls.
If you’re weighing a potential stock buy right now, focus on growth durability, margin improvement, and whether the next quarter sustains or stalls expectations. I size entries in tranches when momentum is this loud.
soundhound stock: Expert Predictions, Price Targets, and an Investor Guide
When firms shift ratings after a blowout quarter, flows often follow; that pattern is playing out now. Ladenburg Thalmann moved to Buy with a price target of $16 (Aug‑11‑25) while Northland upgraded to Outperform at $14.50 (Aug‑08‑25). These calls crystallize market expectations for the next few weeks.
Street Calls
The clustered targets near $14.50–$16 matter. They act as short‑term magnets for trading and influence flows into thematic funds focused on artificial intelligence and voice intelligence.
Scenarios Ahead
Scenario 1 — Momentum: continued buying, aided by high short interest and follow‑on earnings surprises, could push price beyond current targets; fresh enterprise deals would accelerate that move.
Scenario 2 — Valuation pullback: premium multiples mean any slowdown in quarterly sales or margin pressure could lead to a sharp retracement.
Investor Guide: Quarterly Checklist
Each quarter I check a few concrete items before a fresh trade.
- Revenue vs. guide and year‑over‑year growth trends.
- New enterprise deals and adoption in voice AI.
- Gross margin direction and operating expense discipline.
- Per‑share dilution signals and cash runway.
Item | What to Watch | Why it Matters |
---|---|---|
Revenue | $42.7M (Q2), FY2025 guide $160–$178M | Primary growth engine; drives targets and analyst sentiment |
Analyst targets | $14.50–$16 cluster | Sets short‑term reference points for traders and funds |
Market signals | RSI ~74, Short float 33.75%, Beta 2.76 | Highlights momentum risk and volatility potential |
“Net‑net: the shares could clear current targets if execution keeps surprising, but risk controls matter in a tape that can flip quickly.”
If you consider a stock buy right now, tranche your entries and set alerts around prior highs and support. I treat analyst upgrades as useful signposts, not guarantees. For investors, balance upside scenarios with the valuation risks and watch the next quarter for proof of sustainable growth.
Conclusion
The tape and the numbers together make a clear case for why price ran so hard today.
Quick facts: closed at $15.90 (+17.34%) on ~121M vs. 41.5M avg, Q2 revenue $42.7M (+217% YoY), and a FY2025 guide of $160–$178M. Analysts clustered targets near $14.50–$16.
My takeaway is simple: the move is backed by real evidence — big growth, upgrades, and visible demand on the tape. The optimism isn’t only narrative.
Risks: premium multiples, RSI ~74.06, a 33.75% short float, and TTM loss ~-$225.85M. Execution slips could trigger a sharp repricing.
Next steps: use real‑time charts, SEC EDGAR, the IR page, and an earnings calendar. Treat the $14.50–$16 band as a mile marker, not a ceiling, and scale exposure to match your risk tolerance. For quick FAQs, check the broker FAQ or Motley Fool pieces for basic answers.